Mega Millions
prize & odds table
What you’ll find on this page
Quick definitions
Odds are shown as 1 in X. Lower X = more likely.
Overall odds = chance of winning any prize on one ticket.
Multiplier (Power Play / Megaplier) applies to most non-jackpot prizes, with a few exceptions.
Mega Millions
Prizes and Odds
Match your numbers to win. Add Megaplier to multiply non-jackpot prizes.
Quick takeaways about Mega Millions prize odds
- Small wins are common compared to the jackpot. Most prizes come from lower tiers.
- Megaplier multiplies non‑jackpot prizes — the jackpot (5 + Mega Ball) is not multiplied.
- Multiplier odds vary: 2X is most common, 10X is rare.
| Match | Prize by Megaplier* | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2X | 3X | 4X | 5X | 10X | ||
| Multiplier Odds | 1 in 2.13 | 1 in 3.2 | 1 in 8 | 1 in 16 | 1 in 32 | |
|
+ 
|
Jackpot | 1 in 290,472,336 | ||||
|
|
$2,000,000 | $3,000,000 | $4,000,000 | $5,000,000 | $10,000,000 | 1 in 12,629,232 |
|
+
|
$20,000 | $30,000 | $40,000 | $50,000 | $100,000 | 1 in 893,761 |
|
|
$1,000 | $1,500 | $2,000 | $2,500 | $5,000 | 1 in 38,859 |
|
+
|
$400 | $600 | $800 | $1,000 | $2,000 | 1 in 13,965 |
|
|
$20 | $30 | $40 | $50 | $100 | 1 in 607 |
|
+
|
$20 | $30 | $40 | $50 | $100 | 1 in 665 |
|
+
|
$14 | $21 | $28 | $35 | $70 | 1 in 86 |
|
|
$10 | $15 | $20 | $25 | $50 | 1 in 35 |
* Prize amounts in California are paid on a pari-mutuel basis and may differ from the fixed prize amounts shown here.
Expected value (EV) — a quick reality check
EV is the average return per ticket across all possible outcomes (including the many times you win nothing). For most jackpot games, the EV is usually well below the ticket price — but very large jackpots can change it more than people expect.
Coming soon on WorkTheNumbers: EV by jackpot size + how often each tier appears in real draw windows.
Want a quick comparison? See Powerball odds & prize table and compare tiers side by side.
Likelihood at a glance
A simple way to read odds: smaller “1 in X” happens more often. Here’s the basic shape of the game:
For the exact probabilities, use the table’s Odds column above.
Odds vs. real outcomes over time
The math (odds) doesn’t change — but real-world outcomes do fluctuate in streaks and clusters. That’s why two 100-draw windows can “feel” very different even with identical odds.
If you want to see how frequently each tier actually shows up in a chosen time window, jump to: Mega Millions analysis or patterns.
Mega Millions odds FAQ
What are the odds of winning the Mega Millions jackpot?
Do the odds change if nobody wins for a while?
Does Power Play / Megaplier improve my chances of winning?
What’s the easiest prize to win?
Tip: If you’re looking for recent winning numbers, visit Mega Millions results.
How to read the table
- The Match column shows how many main balls + the bonus ball you hit.
- The Odds column is the approximate probability of that exact outcome.
- The multiplier columns show what you’d receive if you added the optional multiplier on your ticket.
What the odds actually mean
- Most common win is usually “bonus ball only” (small prize).
- Jackpot odds are the toughest because you need every ball to match.
- If you’re comparing games, focus on overall odds + non-jackpot tiers, not just the jackpot number.